At China’s latest economic meeting on July 24, 2023, the government acknowledged the disappointing economic data and set a pro-growth tone to revive the post-reopening recovery. Investors were waiting for concrete measures to implement the policy direction set out by the Politburo meeting to judge whether they are likely to be effective in jumpstarting the hitherto sluggish growth.

In our CIO Special, we explore the market impact of the government's stated plans and the economic outlook:

  • Politburo responds to weak economic data by announcing numerous stimulus measures
  • Real estate concerns and renewed U.S.-China tensions weighing on market sentiment
  • Current Chinese equity valuations may offer buying opportunities for risk-conscious investors

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  • Glossary

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    Asia-Pacific (APAC) is the part of the world near the western Pacific Ocean. The Asia-Pacific region includes countries in East Asia, Southeast Asia, and Oceania that border the Pacific Ocean.

     

    The Bank of England (BoE) is the UK central bank.

     

    The Bank of Japan (BoJ) is the central bank of Japan.

     

    Basel IV is a proposed standard on capital reserves for banks.

     

    Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) is a component of Tier 1 capital that is primarily common stock held by a bank or other financial institution.

     

    Commercial real estate (CRE) are properties that are primarily used to conduct business and provide income to the property owner.

     

    The European Banking Authority (EBA) is an independent EU Authority regulatory agency across the European banking sector.

     

    Earnings per share (EPS) are calculated as a companies' net income minus dividends of preferred stock all divided by the total number of shares outstanding.

     

    The European Central Bank (ECB) is the central bank for the Eurozone.

     

    The Eurozone is formed of 20 European Union member states that have adopted the euro as their common currency and sole legal tender.

     

    EUR is the currency code for the euro, the currency of the Eurozone.

     

    The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) is an independent agency created by Congress to maintain stability and public confidence in the nation's financial system.

     

    A regulated clearing organization that deals with the confirmation, settlement, and delivery of fixed-income assets in the United States is known by the name Fixed Income Clearing Corporation (FICC).

     

    Banks above a cut-off score are identified as G-SIBs and are allocated to buckets that will be used to determine their higher loss absorbency requirement.

     

    In order to guarantee that financial institutions can continue to meet short-term obligations, the liquidity coverage ratio (LCR) refers to the percentage of highly liquid assets held by those institutions.

     

    NTM stands for next twelve months in the context of earnings and thus price/earnings ratios.

     

    The People’s Bank of China (PBoC) is the central bank of the People's Republic of China.

     

    Price/book (P/B) ratios measure a company's share price relative to its tangible assets.

     

    Price/earnings (P/E) ratios measure a company's current share price relative to its per-share earnings. In this context, LTM refers to last twelve months' earnings.

     

    Recovery and Resilience Plan (RRP or in Italian PNRR) is Italy's investment and reform plan for recovery from the Covid-19 emergency approved by the EU.

     

    Risk-weighted assets (RWA) is a term used to determine minimum capital bank need to keep as reserve to reduce the risk of insolvency.

     

    The Stoxx Europe 600 includes 600 companies across 18 European Union countries.

     

    A systemically important financial institution (SIFI) is a bank, insurance company, or other financial institution whose failure might trigger a financial crisis.

     

    The Single Resolution Fund (SRF) is an emergency fund that can be called upon in times of crisis.

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    Important information - General

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    This material is for your information only and is not intended as an offer, or recommendation or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any investment, security, financial instrument or other specific product, to conclude a transaction, or to provide any investment service or investment advice, or to provide any research, investment research or investment recommendation, in any jurisdiction. All materials in this communication are meant to be reviewed in their entirety.

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    To the extent permissible under applicable laws and regulations, this document is for discussion purposes only and is not intended to create any legally binding obligations on Deutsche Bank and/or its affiliates (“Affiliates”), and Deutsche Bank is not acting as your financial advisor or in a fiduciary capacity unless otherwise expressly agreed by Deutsche Bank in writing. Before making an investment decision, investors need to consider, with or without the assistance of an investment adviser, whether any investments and strategies described or provided by Deutsche Bank, are appropriate, in light of their particular investment needs, objectives, financial circumstances, the possible risks and benefits of such investment decision and instrument specifics. When making an investment decision, potential investors should not rely on this document but only on what is contained in the final offering documents relating to the investment. As a global financial services provider, Deutsche Bank from time to time faces actual and potential conflicts of interest. Deutsche Bank’s policy is to take all appropriate steps to maintain and operate effective organisational and administrative arrangements to identify and manage such conflicts. Senior management within Deutsche Bank are responsible for ensuring that Deutsche Bank’s systems, controls and procedures are adequate to identify and manage conflicts of interest. Deutsche Bank does not give tax or legal advice, including in this document and nothing in this document should be interpreted as Deutsche Bank providing any person with any investment advice. Investors should seek advice from their own tax experts, lawyers, and investment advisers in considering investments and strategies described by Deutsche Bank. Unless notified to the contrary in a particular case, investment instruments are not insured by any governmental entity, not subject to deposit protection schemes and not guaranteed, including by Deutsche Bank. This document may not be reproduced or circulated without Deutsche Bank’s express written authorisation. Deutsche Bank expressly prohibits the distribution and transfer of this material to third parties. Deutsche Bank accepts no liability whatsoever arising from the use or distribution of this material or for any action taken or decision made in respect of investments mentioned in this document the investor may have entered into or may enter in future.

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    Kingdom of Bahrain

    For Residents of the Kingdom of Bahrain: This document does not constitute an offer for sale of, or participation in, securities, derivatives or funds marketed in Bahrain within the meaning of Bahrain Monetary Agency Regulations. All applications for investment should be received and any allotments should be made, in each case from outside of Bahrain. This document has been prepared for private information purposes of intended investors only who will be institutions. No invitation shall be made to the public in the Kingdom of Bahrain and this document will not be issued, passed to, or made available to the public generally. The Central Bank (CBB) has not reviewed, nor has it approved, this document or the marketing of such securities, derivatives, or funds in the Kingdom of Bahrain. Accordingly, the securities, derivatives or funds may not be offered or sold in Bahrain or to residents thereof except as permitted by Bahrain law. The CBB is not responsible for performance of the securities, derivatives, or funds.

     

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