Investing insights
Our global Chief Investment Office (CIO) publishes our economic outlook and investing themes. From thought-leadership on ESG and long-term trends to timely commentary on market developments, our investing insights are designed to help each client shape their financial tomorrow.
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CIO Insights quarterly report
CIO PERSPECTIVES: Economic and asset class outlook Q4 2024
This is the latest edition of our PERSPECTIVES: Economic and asset class outlook. It provides a summary update of our economic and asset class views following our quarterly CIO Day.
Nov 21, 2024
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CIO Insights quarterly report
CIO PERSPECTIVES: Q3 2024 Update
In the third issue of our quarterly publication PERSPECTIVES, we provide an update on our economic and investment outlook for the remainder of 2024 and beyond.
Sep 09, 2024
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CIO Insights quarterly report
CIO PERSPECTIVES: Q2 2024 Update
In the second issue of our quarterly publication PERSPECTIVES, we provide an update on our economic and investment outlook for the third quarter of 2024 and beyond.
Jun 17, 2024
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CIO Insights quarterly report
CIO PERSPECTIVES: Q1 2024 Update
In the first issue of our new quarterly publication, we update our forecasts for 2024 on the macroeconomic front, as well as for equities, fixed income, commodities and foreign exchange.
Mar 18, 2024
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Stocks
Annual Outlook 2024 | ESG: We‘re in this together
ESG investment has gone mainstream, with performance implications. Energy transition may point the way to investing in the sustainable economy.
Jan 24, 2024
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Event video
German federal elections 2025: video update
Christian Nolting, Global Chief Investment Officer for the Private Bank, discusses his predictions for Sunday's German federal elections, the possible outcomes and the implications for investors under different scenarios, with Nico Nonnenmacher, the Private Bank's Head of Communications.
Feb 21, 2025
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PERSPECTIVES Special
Higher tariffs for longer
In this PERSPECTIVES Special we look at both the prospects for tariffs implementation and their possible impact on U.S. and European equities.
Feb 18, 2025
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PERSPECTIVES Special
Where a potential Russia-Ukraine ceasefire might lead
In this PERSPECTIVES Special we will look for how any potential end to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine might impact financial markets.
Feb 14, 2025
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Future Fundamentals podcast
Putting nature on the balance sheet
In our Future Fundamentals podcast, Naoko Ishii, Executive Vice President of the University of Tokyo and Director of the Center for Global Commons, and Markus Müller, our Chief Investment Officer for Sustainability, discuss putting nature on the balance sheet and how to build a coordinated financial response to this global challenge.
Feb 11, 2025
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PERSPECTIVES Memo
Market Perspectives on DeepSeek
On January 20, DeepSeek, an AI spin-off from a local Chinese hedge fund, launched a free AI assistant app. By yesterday, it had overtaken other well-known AI assistants in the number of smartphone app downloads. With its growing traction, the underlying details of its development gained attention as well.
Jan 30, 2025
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PERSPECTIVES Special
UK assets: a bumpy start to 2025
In this PERSPECTIVES Special we examine the reasons behind the UK assets’ bumpy start to the year. Issues covered include the re-pricing of global interest rate expectations, vulnerabilities from the UK’s “twin deficit”, the fiscal outlook, Bank of England policy options and the outlook for sterling, UK bonds and UK equities.
Jan 16, 2025
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PERSPECTIVES Special
China: fiscal stimulus – one step at a time
In this CIO Special report, we discuss details of the fiscal package announced by the National People’s Congress’ Standing Committee meeting and provide an update on the macroeconomic performance of the Chinese economy.
Nov 11, 2024
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Video briefing
CIO Video: U.S. post-election update
Our Global Chief Investment Officer, Christian Nolting, provides an initial assessment of the U.S. election results and their market implications.
Nov 06, 2024
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PERSPECTIVES Special
U.S. Election: America goes to the polls
As we inch closer to the U.S. presidential election, our new CIO Special explores the current state of the political landscape, key issues and policies that continue to shape the narrative for the race and its potential impact on a range of sectors for equity investors.
Sep 27, 2024
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PERSPECTIVES Special
Decarbonizing portfolios: 10 key factors
Portfolio decarbonization will become an increasingly important topic. Investors need to understand the key issues involved.
Aug 23, 2024
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PERSPECTIVES Special
Circular materials use: the need for change
In this CIO Special report we examine what’s driving Earth Overshoot Day and where innovation is offering hope for our planet's future.
Jul 31, 2024
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PERSPECTIVES Special
Investing in EU carbon markets: where now?
Carbon markets are likely to play a major role in promoting sustainability and innovation, offering new opportunities for investors and policymakers alike.
Jul 25, 2024
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PERSPECTIVES Viewpoint Equity
Reshuffling the cards
Commentary on the latest equity market developments, possible determinants going forward and our view concerning U.S. and German equity markets. Plus a short update on Q4 2024 earnings season that is getting into full swing.
Jan 30, 2025
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PERSPECTIVES Viewpoint Equity
India: Foreign investor selling provides buying opportunity
In this report, we provide an overview of corporate earnings for the September quarter 2024, explain the reasons for the recent FPI outflows and dive into market valuations. We conclude by analysing high frequency data to gauge growth prospects.
Nov 26, 2024
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CIO Viewpoint Fixed Income
Bond markets caught between monetary and fiscal policies
Central banks have successfully brought down inflation rates close to target levels and pivoted monetary policy towards a rate cut cycle. We discuss the factors currently driving bond markets and present our view on bond asset classes.
Oct 31, 2024
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PERSPECTIVES Viewpoint Equity
China: More stimulus in the making
In this CIO Viewpoint Equity, we evaluate China's recent monetary and fiscal stimulus announcements.
Oct 14, 2024
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CIO Viewpoint FX
Central Banks at the helm
We explore anticipated central bank policy moves, their potential impact on currency pair volatility, the outlook for the next twelve months and the possible developments in currencies that investors should take into account in their investment decision-making.
Oct 11, 2024
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PERSPECTIVES Viewpoint Equity
Setting the course for Q4
In this CIO Viewpoint Equity we comment on the latest equity market developments, elaborate on our new September 2025 equity index targets and share our view on how the relative performance of Cyclicals vs. Defensives might evolve from here.
Sep 27, 2024