This special report describes our approach to Strategic Asset Allocation (SAA). (It updates a report of the same title first published in 2019.)  SAA, seen as the key driver of portfolio returns, involves the optimum allocation of investment between different asset classes in a way that is appropriate both for the client’s preferences and their geographic location.

 

This report focuses on

  • The need for an SAA to address uncertainty, anticipate the future and the management of assumptions on returns, volatility and correlation.
  • Modelling for portfolio optimization, why enhancing portfolio robustness does not mean avoiding risk and the goal of steady good results.
  • Complementing SAA with tactical asset allocation, further improving returns vs. risk, and the role of continuous improvement via quality checks. 

 

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The PERSPECTIVES Special below is available to download. Please refer to the Important Information at the end of the memo for disclosures and risk warnings.

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All opinions and claims are based upon data on May 5, 2025 and may not come to pass. This information is subject to change at any time, based upon economic, market and other considerations and should not be construed as a recommendation. There can be no certainty that events will turn out as we have opined herein. Past Performance and forecasts are not reliable indicators of future performance. No assurance can be given that any forecast or target will be achieved. Forecasts are based on assumptions, estimates, opinions and hypothetical models or analysis which may prove to be incorrect.

In Europe, Middle East and Africa as well as in Asia Pacific this material is considered marketing material, but this is not the case in the U.S.

The value of an investment can fall as well as rise and you might not get back the amount originally invested at any point in time. Your capital may be at risk.

No assurance can be given that any forecast or target can be achieved. Forecasts are based on assumptions, estimates, opinions and hypothetical models which may prove to be incorrect. Past performance is not indicative of future returns. Performance refers to a nominal value based on price gains/losses and does not take into account inflation. Inflation will have a negative impact on the purchasing power of this nominal monetary value. Depending on the current level of inflation, this may lead to a real loss in value, even if the nominal performance of the investment is positive.

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Change of name: As part of Deutsche Bank’s Private Bank, the former International Private Bank also adopted this title on July 20, 2023.