US equities are trading around record highs after the administration of President Trump pushed its self-imposed tariff deadline to August, notes Deepak Puri, the Private Bank’s Chief Investment Officer for the Americas. At the same time, Fed minutes highlighted differing views at the central bank over the course of rate policy for the rest of the year.

“Overall the minutes were highlighting the tension between the upside risk to inflation", Deepak says, "But there were also some voices that were saying that there is a downside risk to labour markets, which keeps many, many more people projecting cuts."

 

Inflation figures will be some of the most closely watched data in the week ahead. "Once these numbers are there, we can gauge what the core PCE is going to be, which gets released later in the month," Deepak says. "That's the Fed's preferred gauge for inflation.

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In Europe, Middle East and Africa as well as in Asia Pacific this material is considered marketing material, but this is not the case in the U.S.

The value of an investment can fall as well as rise and you might not get back the amount originally invested at any point in time. Your capital may be at risk.

No assurance can be given that any forecast or target can be achieved. Forecasts are based on assumptions, estimates, opinions and hypothetical models which may prove to be incorrect. Past performance is not indicative of future returns. Performance refers to a nominal value based on price gains/losses and does not take into account inflation. Inflation will have a negative impact on the purchasing power of this nominal monetary value. Depending on the current level of inflation, this may lead to a real loss in value, even if the nominal performance of the investment is positive.

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