Please note: this article is more than one year old. The views of our CIO team may have changed since it was published, and the data on which it was based may have been revised.

In our quarterly CIO Insights publication for Q4 2018 we look at how the investment landscape is likely to evolve, against a background of continued economic growth but sustained uncertainty around China, Europe and elsewhere. We still think that it makes sense to stay invested, but hedge, with market volatility creating opportunities as well as risks. Over the longer term, we consider what a new structural cycle – the “new techonomy” – will mean for the next phase of global economic management.

The publication includes an update on our 10 Themes for 2018, assessing each one in the light of recent developments, before a look at the outlook for the global economy. An overview of our multi asset investment position and likely multi asset trends is followed by a more detailed description of our equities, fixed income and FX views. We also present our updated economic and market forecasts.

In Europe, Middle East and Africa as well as in Asia Pacific this material is considered marketing material, but this is not the case in the U.S. No assurance can be given that any forecast or target can be achieved. Forecasts are based on assumptions, estimates, opinions and hypothetical models which may prove to be incorrect. Past performance is not indicative of future returns. Investments come with risk. The value of an investment can fall as well as rise and you might not get back the amount originally invested at any point in time. Your capital may be at risk. CIO Office, Deutsche Bank Wealth Management, Deutsche Bank AG - Email: WM.CIO-Office@db.com.

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